Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.029077 0.033837 0.039079 0.045271 0.052378 0.060274 0.069703
2025-10-12 0.022642 0.029015 0.036676 0.046532 0.058847 0.073690 0.092901
2025-10-19 0.017207 0.024012 0.032846 0.045090 0.061544 0.082807 0.112267
2025-10-26 0.013729 0.020666 0.030308 0.044572 0.064996 0.093020 0.134182
2025-11-02 0.010948 0.017660 0.027585 0.043157 0.066758 0.100913 0.153731
2025-11-09 0.008945 0.015375 0.025434 0.042081 0.068634 0.108939 0.174187
2025-11-16 0.007608 0.013859 0.024154 0.042035 0.071899 0.119203 0.198968
2025-11-23 0.006355 0.012236 0.022409 0.040903 0.073155 0.126322 0.219442
2025-11-30 0.005802 0.011737 0.022459 0.042752 0.079514 0.142263 0.255854
2025-12-07 0.005085 0.010799 0.021571 0.042779 0.082645 0.153029 0.284567
2025-12-14 0.004315 0.009618 0.020046 0.041389 0.082985 0.158883 0.305187
2025-12-21 0.003770 0.008794 0.019074 0.040893 0.084874 0.167612 0.331732
2025-12-28 0.003559 0.008660 0.019484 0.043235 0.092612 0.188119 0.382553
2026-01-04 0.003292 0.008355 0.019497 0.044769 0.098931 0.206601 0.431462
2026-01-11 0.002840 0.007540 0.018289 0.043538 0.099417 0.213737 0.458944
2026-01-18 0.002510 0.006956 0.017505 0.043116 0.101538 0.224326 0.494360
2026-01-25 0.002169 0.006277 0.016393 0.041785 0.101488 0.230396 0.521031
2026-02-01 0.001894 0.005716 0.015472 0.040760 0.101978 0.237610 0.550756
2026-02-08 0.001706 0.005356 0.014991 0.040725 0.104726 0.249947 0.592656
2026-02-15 0.001491 0.004879 0.014136 0.039631 0.104814 0.256359 0.622055
2026-02-22 0.001426 0.004827 0.014394 0.041429 0.112158 0.279953 0.692405
2026-03-01 0.001295 0.004552 0.014002 0.041456 0.115080 0.293557 0.741000
2026-03-08 0.001131 0.004135 0.013147 0.040107 0.114310 0.298327 0.769296